Webinars

In this free one-hour webinar, Sam Savage of ProbabilityManagement.org and Shayne Kavanagh of the Government Finance Officers Association will explain how to start your organization down the path toward chance-based forecasting with freely available tools.

To assist municipal financial officers in estimating the chances of achieving their projected tax revenues, we have quantified the historical accuracy of similar projections. This is what Nobel Laureate Daniel Kahneman would call a reference class forecast, except that we are providing it as a SIP library of actionable data.

Projected Revenue Estimation from Crowdsourced Information on Statistical Errors can easily be scaled up and applied to any repeated forecasting situation, such as sales, costs, etc.

To learn more, read Sam and Shayne’s blog post on PRECISE Uncertainty or visit PRECISEUncertainty.org.