Board Members

Dr. Sam L. Savage

Executive Director and Chairman of the Board

Dr. Sam L. Savage is the Executive Director of ProbabilityManagement.org, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit devoted to standardizing the communication and calculation of uncertainty. The organization has received funding from Chevron, Kaiser Permanente, Highmark Health, Lockheed Martin, PG&E, and others, and Harry Markowitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics was a co-founding board member. Dr. Savage is author of The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty (John Wiley & Sons, 2009, 2012) and Chancification: Fixing the Flaw of Averages (2022). He is the inventor of the Stochastic Information Packet (SIP), an auditable data array for conveying uncertainty. He is an Adjunct in Civil and Environmental Engineering at Stanford University.

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Phil Fahringer

Strategic Modeling Engineer Fellow with Lockheed Martin. Over 37 years combined experience in the military and industry. Master’s degrees in operations research and strategic studies, from the US Naval Postgraduate School and the US Army War College respectively, and an undergraduate degree in Business Logistics from Pennsylvania State University. Leads Lockheed Martin Corporation Strategic Modeling and Decision Support Community of Practice and Co-chairs the Military Operations Research Society probability management Community of Practice. Active with ProbabilityManagement.org since 2013.

Nancy Garrett

Vice President of Market & Provider Analytics at Highmark Health. She brings together market expertise from both payer and provider perspectives to create next generation analytics that empower providers to take on risk and improve population health. Treasurer of the YWCA Minneapolis.

Deborah Gordon

Over 30 years of experience in algorithm design, signal processing, and networks. Active in local government and advises several small start-up tech companies. Holds several patents for medical instrumentation.

Shayne Kavanagh

Senior Manager of Research for GFOA. Leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning and policies for local government.

Connor McLemore

Principal Operations Research Analyst for CANA Advisors and Chair of National Security Applications since 2014. Former Naval Postgraduate School Military Assistant Professor and Operations Research Program Officer. Graduate of the United States Navy Fighter Weapons School (Topgun) with numerous operational deployments during 20 years of naval service. Has taught SIPmath at the Naval Postgraduate School and co-authored several articles and models displayed on the nonprofit’s Military Readiness page.

Gregory Parnell

Professor of Practice in the Department of Industrial Engineering at the University of Arkansas. Research interests include decision and risk analysis and systems engineering. Co-editor of Decision Making for Systems Engineering and Management, (3rd Ed, 2022), lead author for the Handbook of Decision Analysis, (2013), and editor of Trade-off Analytics: Creating and Exploring the System Tradespace, (2017). He has a Ph.D. from Stanford University. Retired Air Force Colonel.

Steve Roemerman

Co-founder, Chairman and CEO of Lone Star Analysis with over 30 years of experience leading international organizations in strategic decision-making. Led a multiyear international study defining best practices in AI, modeling, simulation, and analysis. This peer reviewed work is accepted as a definitive standard. Invited lecturer at several graduate schools and universities and publications include papers, articles, and books. Holds patents awarded and pending. Steve has been actively involved with ProbabilityManagement.org since 2014.

Michael Salama

Board Member Emeritus

Vice President and Lead Tax Counsel, Walt Disney Company.

Harry Markowitz

(1927-2023)

Nobel Laureate in Economics

Board Members

Annual Report