2019 Annual Conference Presentations
Abstracts | Speaker Bios
Presentations (in order of appearance)
Tuesday, March 26
Virtual SIPs - Sam L. Savage, Executive Director of ProbabilityManagement.org and author of The Flaw of Averages
Promoting Predictive Analytics in a Large Organization - Andrew Abranches and Ujvalla Gupta, Pacific Gas and Electric Company
Using Probability Management for System Design Tradespace Exploration - Gregory S. Parnell, Ph.D., Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Arkansas
Metalog Distributions: Uses and Applications To Strengthen Your Capabilities - Tom Keelin, Managing Partner, Keelin Reeds Partners and Chief Research Scientist, ProbabilityManagement.org
Using Risk Analysis to Make Better Strategic Decisions - Alex Sidorenko, Institute for Strategic Risk Analysis in Decision Making
Stochastic Econometrics - Katlin Bass and Madeline Minchillo, Lone Star Analysis
How to Supplement Safety Requirements to Prevent Major Technological Catastrophes? - Stan Uryasev, Risk Management and Financial Engineering Lab, University of Florida
Utilization of an Attrition Model to Explore Warfighting Utility of Non-Kinetic Attacks - CAPT Brian Morgan, Naval Postgraduate School, and Harrison Schramm, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments
Wednesday, March 27
The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's *Still* Broken and How to Fix It - Doug Hubbard, Hubbard Decision Research and author of The Failure of Risk Management: Why It’s *Still* Broken and How to Fix It
The Mission Assurance Portfolio (MAP) Model: A SIPmath Application of Scenario-Based Portfolio Planning with Uncertainty - Shaun Doheney, Innovative Decisions, Inc., and Chair of Resources and Readiness Applications at ProbabilityManagement.org
Long-range Probabilistic Forecasts of US Energy Use and Prices - Max Henrion, PhD, Lumina Decision Systems, Inc.
The Problem with Big Data - Harry Markowitz, Harry Markowitz Co. (via live webcast)
Beyond Risk: Applying SIPMath Across the Enterprise - Raj Dev, Credit Sesame, and Matthew Raphaelson, Chair of Banking Applications at ProbabilityManagement.org
Risk-Aware Planning for City Finances: How Much of a Rainy Day Fund is Enough? (presentation) | Model - Shayne Kavanagh, Government Finance Officers Association, and Dan Matusiewicz, City of Newport Beach
Multi-objective Optimization for Sustainable Development of Transportation Infrastructure Networks - Michael Lepech, Stanford Incheon Global Campus Research Center
SIPs and SLURPs of Water: Applied Probability Management - Thomas W. Chesnutt, Ph.D., PStat®, CAP®, A & N Technical Services, Inc.
When It Hits Home! (this presentation is not available) - Deborah C. Gordon, Director City/County Association of Governments San Mateo County (2002-2018) and Former Mayor, Woodside, CA